Academician Hou YunDe infers the first type H1N1 influenza virus developing direction

Academician Hou YunDe infers the first type H1N1 influenza virus developing direction
It is reported ' Special correspondent reporter Song GuoFan and Hu DeRong) Academician Hou YunDe of Center for Disease Prevention and Control of China, the one that holds in Shanghai on May 21 " meets Expo - -The seminar of infectious disease prevention and control of ' long trigonometry ' " On say is it getting first more type in theory H1N1 influenza virus suit on crowd still, be inferred whether there aren't virus of it. Academician Hou YunDe says in entitled as report of " characteristic and prevention and cure tactics that the virus infects "ing, because the epidemic situation presents time shorter at present, first type H1N1 influenza virus still suits in the crowd in theory, virus virulence take place mutant possibility exist, infer developing direction its have 3 kind possible: First, the source virus of this pig may still further adapt to the human body in the crowd, make a variation and recombinate (especially in the Southern Hemisphere, autumn and winter come, during prevailing season of influenza, produce new recombination one in the people or body of pig) ,The scale that thus go on and expand prevailing, increase toxicity, it is great to be similar to 1918 influenza that kind of prevailing situations. The situation that continue to keep prevailing slowly, is not higher than the prevailing intensity of H1N1 virus in present seasonal influenza, or substitute the original H1N1 virus to continue popularly. Three may continue keeping the characteristic of pig's influenza, disappear after several months, that kind of situation appearing in the American army like 1976.

|